Midterms2026
The Hinge of November: Forecasting the 2026 Midterms
In May, Episode 3 of The Phygital Times Podcast called it the 729-Day Wall. Five months on, the data has caught up with the clock: Democrats are strong favorites for the House (88%) and narrow favorites for the Senate (60%). The wall still stands. It falls on the count, not the vote.